Standings through the matches of Saturday, Oct. 24, 2026. Nineteen conference matches remain, Oct. 28 to Nov. 7. The top six of 12 teams qualify for the playoffs, which start Nov. 10. Seeding is by conference wins.
Bethel (8-0) has clinched a playoff spot. Seven conference wins makes the field in every outcome, and four or fewer almost never does. St. Scholastica (1-7) is down to a sliver of a chance, and Saint Mary's needs at least three more wins.
Teams need seven wins to be safe. Five or six wins can go either way, depending on what other teams do and on the tiebreakers. In the table, the first number is the share of outcomes that make the field at that win total. The number in parentheses is the share where the team lands in a tie that only set and point tiebreakers can settle. Every combination of results counts equally.
| Team | Wins now | Wins still needed to clinch | Finishes with 5 wins | Finishes with 6 wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bethel | 8 | Clinched | Not possible | Not possible |
| St. Olaf | 6 | 1 | Not possible | 90% (+7%) |
| Saint Benedict | 6 | 1 | Not possible | 93% (+5%) |
| Carleton | 5 | 2 | 23% (+25%) | 93% (+5%) |
| Gustavus | 4 | 3 | 32% (+17%) | 94% (+4%) |
| Concordia | 3 | 4 | 24% (+16%) | 93% (+5%) |
| St. Catherine | 3 | Not possible | 7% (+12%) | 64% (+17%) |
| Augsburg | 3 | Not possible | 19% (+18%) | 89% (+8%) |
| Saint Mary's | 4 | 3 | 14% (+13%) | 77% (+6%) |
| Hamline | 2 | Not possible | 16% (+21%) | Not possible |
| Macalester | 2 | Not possible | 17% (+23%) | Not possible |
| St. Scholastica | 1 | Not possible | Not possible | Not possible |
Seeds 1 and 2 host the semifinals. The final is hosted by the higher seed. Match times are tentative.
The steps are used in order, even if a tie is partly settled at one step. Results of partly settled ties carry forward to later steps, and steps (b) and (c) always use the matches among all of the originally tied teams. Teams are not sent back to step (a).
With 20 or fewer undecided matches, the page plays out every winner combination and counts how often each team lands on each seed. With more, it draws a random sample of 262,144 outcomes, so the percentages are estimates and the status chips only show what is certain. The starting view uses all 524,288 outcomes. Lock in more results to get exact numbers.
Until every match has a result, a tie that survives step (a) shows a seed range such as 3\u20134. When all 19 matches have results, steps (b) to (e) are applied. Matches you enter are given set scores (3-1 by default) and estimated points of 25\u201318 per set. A dagger marks a seed decided by a point spread that includes those estimates.
Unofficial. Official standings and tiebreaker decisions come from the MIAC office.